
This projection reaches 4.66 million by 2074, about 0.7 million under the UN medium variant. It is based on the 2024 census; the UN's was finalised before it.
The Gambia 2074
An independent population forecast for The Gambia, out to 2074
An independent population projection for a country whose published figures were set before the 2024 digital census. 7 million below the UN. The engine reproduces the UN's own projection to within 1 percent when fed their inputs. Three forms of Lee-Carter mortality, run over 1,000 futures.
~4.66M by 2074 (4.35 to 4.98M), within 1% of the UN
- Python
- PyMC
- MCMC
- NumPy
- Pandas
- Matplotlib


